What a bunch of ahistorical drivel. Does this clown know nothing about the wake of human destruction that the Industrial Revolution wrought? The environmental costs? The slavery and exploitation that constituted the British Empire?
This article is a classic example of Dunning Kruger Effect.
The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which people with limited competence in a particular domain overestimate their abilities.
You forgot that not all innovation is in the tech industry and it's not about technology at its heart. There is a group of people that give a damn less about productivity and robots and all the faceless / soulless junk that comes with it. This group has all the "money" they want but not the things they want. I'm talking about super luxury things that can't be made by robots or even thought of by robots, because as you know robots don't really think and they can't invent something new and they haven't got the soul required to come up with something that a person with "money" really wants... and that is: Something that's actually worth a lot of it!!! Look around, get off the couch, visit companies that really make cool stuff!!! Hypercars, hyperwatches, hyperanything and now Hyperbikes! I mean motorcycles. Like the ones I make. You can't have one because I'm not quite ready to sell you one. But I'll keep you in mind. Bye
I didn't forget that. It's just off topic. As is this - I learned to ride a bicycles on a Honda Z50a. I like motorcycles. Maybe I'd like hyperbikes too. I'd be happy to see what you're working on when it's ready.
We are becoming more efficient with the use of technology by automating redundancy. The massive energy needed to power these innovations can be harnessed free of charge through other means beside fossil fuels and nuclear energy, but that is not financially profitable for the people that are desperately trying to stay in power by convincing us that they are still relevant. This debt based economy continues to profit the least capable while destroying the most capable which will inevitably continue to wreck havock in society. Nonetheless, you make a good presentation on the current state of affairs.
The new power plants need to get built next to manufacturing facilities, chemical plants or somewhere that the waist heat can be utilized to make this whole process more efficient think Cogen like they used at Paper Mills, which are rapidlydecreasing.
Excellent article! The only problem, as you stated, is that we have to produce more energy to get this going full force. I moved from California, and the larger state economies,( like California and Texas), are already overburdened trying to run electric cars, and prop up the archaic windmills out in the deserts. Newsome and his like need to be replaced, and people with vision AND money need to step up and add nuclear energy to that vision. If Trump can eliminate the union problems, the money put out on illegals wanting free stuff, and the overwhelming federal outreach in that state alone, it can again become the home of such thought. People are still afraid of what they do not understand. Texas power outages are constant, and more people are moving there than ever. This all has to be thought out before hand. Politicians need to get out of the mix, as well!
I also like to see “The Club of Rome” and its shrinking pie evil philosophy being destroyed. The idea of lack rather than abundance is also another contrast between the evil Malthusian thinking and what I read in The Bible about a God who “who delights in the welfare of his servant!” Psalm 35:27.
Very thoughtful article Matt, nice job. As a pilot, I KNOW my job will be even more automated than it is already. It’s currently required by regulations, to have a fully functioning autopilot system engaged when operating between 29,0000 and 41,000 feet in most areas.(RVSM airspace, only 1000 feet of vertical separation between traffic in opposite directions, pretty much over most developed countries).
Robotics is not a learning intelligence. Elsewhere you describe normal intelligence software which programmers develop to cover as much of an area as possible regarding a response or user interest using human reasoning. The best example is when one asks the "CHAT" to help solve one's problem or question and never gets a resolution no matter the effort made to rephrase requests. One gets on the phone and calls an intelligent being. Did one, or did the "CHAT" learn from the encounter?
Thorium isn’t a real alternative right now because everything—reactors, supply chains, regulations—is built around uranium. Switching would take decades and a massive investment. On top of that, thorium isn’t even directly usable as fuel; it has to be converted into uranium-233 first, adding complexity. The tech for thorium reactors is still experimental, and without industry momentum, there’s no real push to make the switch. Until all that changes (and it probably will at some point) uranium remains the go-to choice.
Absolutely. And it's already happening. I remember reading about AI helping optimize nuclear fusion reactor designs and even controlling plasma stability in real time. I mean, fusion—the holy grail of energy. I think it was Google's DeepMind that built an AI system that successfully managed plasma in a tokamak reactor. That’s quite a leap toward making it (fusion) a reality.
But even fusion isn't a silver bullet for AI’s energy appetite. For one, commercial viability is still years, if not decades, away. Even when it does arrive, it’s not unlimited—reactors will still require rare materials, expensive infrastructure, and enormous cooling systems. Meanwhile, AI will keep pushing demand higher... and no single energy source—fusion included—can solve that overnight.
I love this essay and it touches on a lot of what I've studied during my career. I'd make a couple small comments. 1. I'm not sure Milei and Trump significantly cutting can be interpreted as an expanding pie. Seems to pretty clearly indicate a shrinking pie, as in less government money to throw around. 2. I'd like to see a real numbers based analysis of the trends of AI data center energy use and current production capacity in the US (even including oil, gas, nuclear) and the time horizons to tap those sources.
As an early peak oil person I've long contended that this energy bottleneck was coming and there's no real way to get through it without pretty ghastly consequences. Not to be a doomer!
What a bunch of ahistorical drivel. Does this clown know nothing about the wake of human destruction that the Industrial Revolution wrought? The environmental costs? The slavery and exploitation that constituted the British Empire?
This article is a classic example of Dunning Kruger Effect.
The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which people with limited competence in a particular domain overestimate their abilities.
Details please. Which of my abilities am I over estimating due to my limited competence.
Looks like someone mistook us for their Marxist reading club. Appreciate the lecture, comrade, but we’ll stick to reality.
You forgot that not all innovation is in the tech industry and it's not about technology at its heart. There is a group of people that give a damn less about productivity and robots and all the faceless / soulless junk that comes with it. This group has all the "money" they want but not the things they want. I'm talking about super luxury things that can't be made by robots or even thought of by robots, because as you know robots don't really think and they can't invent something new and they haven't got the soul required to come up with something that a person with "money" really wants... and that is: Something that's actually worth a lot of it!!! Look around, get off the couch, visit companies that really make cool stuff!!! Hypercars, hyperwatches, hyperanything and now Hyperbikes! I mean motorcycles. Like the ones I make. You can't have one because I'm not quite ready to sell you one. But I'll keep you in mind. Bye
I didn't forget that. It's just off topic. As is this - I learned to ride a bicycles on a Honda Z50a. I like motorcycles. Maybe I'd like hyperbikes too. I'd be happy to see what you're working on when it's ready.
I have been working on the design prototype for 16 years! I can send photos to your email, mine is: stevewellmandesign@gmail.com
Really cool to actually get to talk with you.
We are becoming more efficient with the use of technology by automating redundancy. The massive energy needed to power these innovations can be harnessed free of charge through other means beside fossil fuels and nuclear energy, but that is not financially profitable for the people that are desperately trying to stay in power by convincing us that they are still relevant. This debt based economy continues to profit the least capable while destroying the most capable which will inevitably continue to wreck havock in society. Nonetheless, you make a good presentation on the current state of affairs.
The new power plants need to get built next to manufacturing facilities, chemical plants or somewhere that the waist heat can be utilized to make this whole process more efficient think Cogen like they used at Paper Mills, which are rapidlydecreasing.
Excellent article! The only problem, as you stated, is that we have to produce more energy to get this going full force. I moved from California, and the larger state economies,( like California and Texas), are already overburdened trying to run electric cars, and prop up the archaic windmills out in the deserts. Newsome and his like need to be replaced, and people with vision AND money need to step up and add nuclear energy to that vision. If Trump can eliminate the union problems, the money put out on illegals wanting free stuff, and the overwhelming federal outreach in that state alone, it can again become the home of such thought. People are still afraid of what they do not understand. Texas power outages are constant, and more people are moving there than ever. This all has to be thought out before hand. Politicians need to get out of the mix, as well!
I also like to see “The Club of Rome” and its shrinking pie evil philosophy being destroyed. The idea of lack rather than abundance is also another contrast between the evil Malthusian thinking and what I read in The Bible about a God who “who delights in the welfare of his servant!” Psalm 35:27.
Very thoughtful article Matt, nice job. As a pilot, I KNOW my job will be even more automated than it is already. It’s currently required by regulations, to have a fully functioning autopilot system engaged when operating between 29,0000 and 41,000 feet in most areas.(RVSM airspace, only 1000 feet of vertical separation between traffic in opposite directions, pretty much over most developed countries).
When confronted with prophetic ideology rather than IT reason, it is best one remain silent.
What is IT reason?
Robotics is not a learning intelligence. Elsewhere you describe normal intelligence software which programmers develop to cover as much of an area as possible regarding a response or user interest using human reasoning. The best example is when one asks the "CHAT" to help solve one's problem or question and never gets a resolution no matter the effort made to rephrase requests. One gets on the phone and calls an intelligent being. Did one, or did the "CHAT" learn from the encounter?
AI = the devil. and it’s all about transhumanism. the merging of man and machine. that’s their goal. wake up.
What about thorium?. It was ready to go in 1967 until until LBJ
canned it for uranium to build atom bombs. Easily mined, everywhere, little radiation.
Thorium isn’t a real alternative right now because everything—reactors, supply chains, regulations—is built around uranium. Switching would take decades and a massive investment. On top of that, thorium isn’t even directly usable as fuel; it has to be converted into uranium-233 first, adding complexity. The tech for thorium reactors is still experimental, and without industry momentum, there’s no real push to make the switch. Until all that changes (and it probably will at some point) uranium remains the go-to choice.
Maybe AI will help develop the energy needed?
Absolutely. And it's already happening. I remember reading about AI helping optimize nuclear fusion reactor designs and even controlling plasma stability in real time. I mean, fusion—the holy grail of energy. I think it was Google's DeepMind that built an AI system that successfully managed plasma in a tokamak reactor. That’s quite a leap toward making it (fusion) a reality.
But even fusion isn't a silver bullet for AI’s energy appetite. For one, commercial viability is still years, if not decades, away. Even when it does arrive, it’s not unlimited—reactors will still require rare materials, expensive infrastructure, and enormous cooling systems. Meanwhile, AI will keep pushing demand higher... and no single energy source—fusion included—can solve that overnight.
I love this essay and it touches on a lot of what I've studied during my career. I'd make a couple small comments. 1. I'm not sure Milei and Trump significantly cutting can be interpreted as an expanding pie. Seems to pretty clearly indicate a shrinking pie, as in less government money to throw around. 2. I'd like to see a real numbers based analysis of the trends of AI data center energy use and current production capacity in the US (even including oil, gas, nuclear) and the time horizons to tap those sources.
As an early peak oil person I've long contended that this energy bottleneck was coming and there's no real way to get through it without pretty ghastly consequences. Not to be a doomer!